Is Trump getting along too well with Beijing bad news for Modi? Reports suggest that Trump’s meetings with Chinese officials could test India’s position as a counterbalance to China. Ronak D. Desai, a visiting scholar at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution, told CNBC that if Trump prioritizes reaching bilateral deals with Beijing, India has reason to worry that the U.S. will treat China as the core negotiation partner in Asia, rather than a core strategic challenge. In other words, India fears losing its central role in the broader framework of U.S. foreign policy.
India is keen to exploit U.S. efforts to curb China’s economic lifelines and shift supply chains to accelerate its own industrial transformation, ultimately seeking to replace China’s central role in the global production network. From the Modi government’s perspective, leveraging U.S. influence also strengthens India’s stance in managing border disputes with China. Over the years, India has regarded the U.S.-India partnership as both a bargaining chip in competition with China and a counterweight to Beijing’s influence in the Asia-Pacific. Modi’s policies across politics, economy, defense, and diplomacy are largely built around the framework of U.S.-China strategic competition. India fears that any U.S.-China détente could undermine its strategic gains and reduce its value to Washington, potentially increasing U.S. pressure on India. Whether in terms of current interests or future prospects, India is reluctant to see reconciliation between the U.S. and China, and even more wary of being gradually marginalized in the process.
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